By John E. Hobbs
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It is interesting to note that with predicted population growth rates and improved living standards in developing countries, it might be expected that such countries will consume an increasing proportion of total fossil fuels. This points to the importance of energy policies in countries other than those presently consuming most of the fossil fuels. If there is uncertainty in the prediction of carbon dioxide trends, then predictions of the resulting climatic effects are even more uncertain. Schneider (1975) reviewed various climate models used to predict change resulting from increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide.
Lamb (1974) has seen some parallelism between the course of climatic fluctuations in this century and those of the sixteenth and eighteenth centuries. The presently observed pattern in middle latitudes may imply that a very awkward kind of year-to-year variability is developing. Opposite extremes of warmth and cold, wet and dry have occurred in different sectors of the same zone. The same season at one place may tend to opposite extremes in different years, as blocking centres shift. There appear to be common characteristics between the cooling trend since the 1940s and most earlier global climatic episodes.
M. m. for F-12. Stratospheric concentrations are well below those in the troposphere, probably because of the slow rate of movement of air from the troposphere to the stratosphere. Fluorocar bons are finally broken down by ultra-violet radiation in the stratosphere. The average freon molecule probably takes several decades to reach above 25 km in the stratosphere, where the breakdown occurs. Fluorocarbons themselves are unusually chemically inert, so unlike many pollutants they are not quickly broken down or removed.